Fish & Seafood

Weak Krone Paves Way for Record Norwegian Seafood Exports in 1H

LinkedIn Pinterest Tumblr

Exports of Norwegian seafood reached an all-time high for the first half of the year, as sales hit NOK 52.9 billion. This is an increase in value of 3.5 per cent, or NOK 1.8 billion, measured against the first six months of 2019.

“Despite a very challenging spring with the corona crisis, we have still seen growth in seafood exports. Salmon, trout, herring and mackerel have increased the most compared to the first half of 2019. A weak Norwegian krone is the main factor driving growth,” said Renate Larsen, chief executive officer of the Tromsø-headquartered Norwegian Seafood Council. “Increased quotas for mackerel, increased production of trout and a turn towards more consumption of salmon fillet have also helped to raise export value.”

Renate Larsen

Although the overall picture shows growth in export value, Larsen noted that several species and product types have experienced a decline in value – namely fresh cod, prawn and king crab. Three reasons in particular have contributed to this:

  • An almost global shutdown of the hotel and restaurant segment.
  • Fewer flights due to travel restrictions.
  • Very bad weather in the main season for fresh cod, which resulted in reduced catches.

“We also observe that salted fish, scallops and codfish were hit hard in the first half of the year,” said the chief executive officer. “This was caused by, amongst other factors, major challenges associated with the corona virus in traditionally large markets such as Brazil and Italy.”

She added: “When we convert to other currencies, we also see a decline in the export price for some products, which indicates a fall in demand. Reduced purchasing power, the risk of the corona virus flaring up again and uncertainty in the value chain are factors that make future prospects uncertain.”

“A new record for seafood exports in the first half of the year is both gratifying and impressive. The seafood industry contributes to jobs along our entire coast. Even though the krone exchange rate plays in, the recent figures show that the industry has so far managed well through the corona crisis,” said Minister of Fisheries and Seafood Odd Emil Ingebrigtsen.

As in the six-month figures, seafood exports in June also reflect value increases:

  • Receipts hit NOK 8.4 billion.
  • There is an increase in value of 5 per cent, or NOK 400 million, compared with June of 2019.

Growth in EU Salmon Exports

  • Norway exported 501,000 tons of salmon worth NOK 35 billion in the first half of 2020.
  • Export volume remains at the same level as last year.
  • Export value increased by NOK 598 million, or 2 per cent, compared with the first half of 2019.
  • The average price for fresh whole salmon increased from NOK 63.71 to NOK 64.62 per kilo.
  • Poland, France and Denmark were the largest recipients of salmon from Norway in the first half of the year.
Paul T. Aandahl

“Salmon exports were hit hard by the corona crisis, with reduced turnover in the restaurant sector, but since April we have seen an improvement in the situation. Important markets such as Italy, the United Kingdom and France have moved towards normalization of demand following a sharp fall in consumption in March and April,” said Paul T. Aandahl, seafood analyst with the Norwegian Seafood Council.

The EU has overall increased its value share of total exports from 70 to 71 per cent in the first half, while shipments of salmon to Asia during the same period saw a slight reduction in value.

“Exports have varied widely from month to month and between markets. In China there was an almost stop in February. Here we have seen a gradual growth up to and including May, before it again stopped in June after a flare-up of the corona virus and the introduction of strict restrictions that affected food imports into China,” said Aandahl.

 

Salmon exports in June show the same trend as the half-year figures. Here too, there is was value growth:

  • 83,500 tons of salmon exports fetched NOK 5.8 billion.
  • There was a 2 percent increase in volume.
  • The value increased by 3 per cent, or NOK 196 million, compared with June last year.

New Consumer Trends in South Korea

South Korea has been the most stable market in Asia with growth throughout the first half of the year. In total, value growth has been 11 per cent, taking total exports to NOK 1.1 billion.

“Norwegian salmon has a market share in South Korea of more than 80 percent, and most of this is eaten in restaurants. However, we now see a clear shift in the consumer market where more people order their food online and eat it at home for fear of corona virus infection. Salmon sales to the hotel and restaurant industry are declining, while grocery retail sales are growing sharply,” said Gunvar L. Wie, fisheries envoy to Japan and South Korea for the Norwegian Seafood Council.

Weaker Price Trend for Trout

  • Norway exported 31,600 tons of trout that generated NOK 1.8 billion in the first half of the year.
  • Export volume increased by 29 per cent.
  • Value rose by NOK 168 million, or 10 per cent, compared with the first half of last year.
  • The average price for fresh whole trout was NOK 54.37. This is 16 per cent lower than the average price for fresh whole salmon.
  • The USA, Ukraine and Japan were the largest markets for Norwegian trout in the first half of the year.

“Trout has had a weaker price trend than salmon in the first half of the year. One of the reasons for this is that trout is more dependent on overseas markets than salmon and is thus more exposed to the increased airfreight costs. Strong volume growth combined with increased logistics costs have pushed the price of trout below the salmon price in the first half,” said Aandahl.

As in the first half of the year, there was also a value increase for trout in June:

  • 6,300 tons were exported to fetch NOK 336 million.
  • Volume increased by 19 per cent.
  • Export value increased by NOK 14 million, or 4 per cent, compared with June last year.

Clipfish Exports Hit Hard by Corona Crisis

  • Norway exported 38,700 tons of clipfish worth NOK 2 billion in the first half of the year.
  • There was a 7 per cent reduction in export volume.
  • Export value increased by NOK 59 million, or 3 per cent.
  • Portugal, Brazil and the Dominican Republic were the most important markets for this species during the first half of the year.

The reason for growth in value during the first half of the year is that the period before the coronavirus crisis was characterized by both increased prices and volumes, especially for codfish, but since April exports have fallen.

Ingrid-Kristine Pettersen

“Although sales in the grocery business in Portugal have grown during the corona period, it is not enough to make up for the decline of the restaurant segment. In addition, there is uncertainty about future demand in Portugal as a result of falling purchasing power. The challenges in the Brazilian market also create uncertainty for both Norwegian and Portuguese clipfish exporters,” says Ingrid Kristine Pettersen, s seafood analyst with the Norwegian Seafood Council.

After a somewhat sluggish start to the year, the export of clipfish and saithe has had a somewhat more positive development during the corona crisis, with price and volume growth compared to last year.

“Although a weak Norwegian krone has made a positive contribution, demand in the Caribbean and West Africa has remained stable. Brazil is also an important market for clipfish,” said Pettersen.

In June, export value for Norwegian clipfish, both in euro and Norwegian krone, fell compared with the same month in 2019

  • 6,400 tons of worth NOK 354 million were exported.
  • This represents a 22 per cent increase in volume.
  • Export value fell by NOK 73 million, or 26 per cent, compared with June of last year.

Saltfish Exports Slow Down

  • Norway exported 16 100 tons of salted fish worth NOK 980 million in the first half of the year.
  • There is a 5 per cent decrease in volume.
  • The value increased by NOK 34 million, or 4 per cent.
  • Portugal, Spain and Greece were the most important markets for this product the first half of the year.

“The start of the year was characterized by both increased volumes and prices for salted cod compared to last year, but from April there have been falling export prices. The reason for this is that salted cod is largely destined for clipfish production in Portugal. Thus, they meet exactly the same challenges as clipfish,” Pettersen explained.

This trend is also reflected in the figures for salt fish exports in June:

  • 1,800 tons valued at NOK 93 million were exported.
  • There is a 36 per cent decrease in volume.
  • The value fell by NOK 56 million, or 38 per cent, compared with June of last year.

Tough Times for Dried Fish Sales

  • Norway exported 1,200 tons of dried cod worth NOK 262 million in the first half of the year.
  • This represents a 16 per cent decrease in volume.
  • Export value fell by NOK 35 million, or 12 per cent.
  • Italy, the USA and Croatia were the most important cod stock markets in the first half of the year.

Approximately 70 per cent of cod normally goes to Italy. Although winter is the low season, coronavirus restrictions have led to reduced exports compared to the same period last year.

“Most of the stockfish in Italy is sold through local shops and restaurants, but these have largely been closed during the Covid-19 pandemic. A gradual opening of the market will be important if exports are to pick up over the next few months,” said Trym Eidem Gundersen, fisheries envoy to Italy for the Norwegian Seafood Council.

Further, in June there was a decrease in volume of these exports:

  • 122 tons of dried cod were shipped at a value of NOK 24 million.
  • This amounts to a 6 per cent decrease in volume.
  • Total export value for June was at the same level as in June of 2019.

Fresh Cod Sales Fall

  • Norway exported 36 100 tons of fresh cod worth NOK 1.6 billion in the first half of the year.
  • This amounted to a 9 per cent drop in volume.
  • The value fell by NOK 61 million, or 4 per cent.
  • Denmark, the Netherlands and Poland were the primary destinations for the product in the first half of the year.

“The corona eruption hit fresh products almost immediately, as restaurants had to close. The virus outbreak occurred in the middle of the main season for fresh cod, but much bad weather limited fishing. Reduced catches and a weak Norwegian krone helped curb the fall in prices,” said Pettersen.

As for export developments in June, statistics point to a significant decline in both value and volume:

  • 1,500 tons of fresh cod worth NOK 62 million were exported.
  • There has been a 28 per cent decrease in volume.
  • June export value fell by NOK 30 million, or 33 per cent, compared with June of 2019.

Increase in Value for Frozen Cod

  • Norway exported 41,000 tons of frozen cod worth NOK 1.9 billion in the first half of the year.
  • There is a 2 percent increase in volume.
  • The value increased by NOK 199 million, or 12 per cent, from the same period last year.
  • China, the United Kingdom and Lithuania were the largest recipients of frozen cod in the first half of 2020.
  • Exports of both frozen whole and fillets have registered growth in value in the first half. Among other countries, there has been growth in the United Kingdom, France and Sweden.


“This is primarily due to higher volumes and prices compared to the same period in 2019. Increased sales of cod in grocery stores and shifts toward frozen and processed products in several markets have resulted in higher exports of frozen fillets during the corona period than the same period last year”, said Pettersen.

In June, this growth was further boosted:

  • 6,600 tons of frozen cod worth NOK 282 million were exported.
  • There is an increase in volume of 80 percent.
  • The value increased by NOK 119 million, or 74 per cent, compared with June of last year.

Strong First Half-Year for Herring

  • Norway shipped 154,000 tons of herring worth NOK 1.8 billion to foreign markets in the first half of the year.
  • Export volume remained at the same level as in 2019.
  • Value increased by NOK 411 million, or 30 per cent.
  • Poland, Lithuania and Egypt were the most important destinations for Norwegian herring in the first half of 2020.

 

“We can safely say that the first half of the year has been good for Norwegian herring. If we measure in US dollars, the average price is about 15 percent higher so far this year than last year, while it is 30 percent higher measured in Norwegian kroner,” said Frank Isaksen, chief analyst of the Norwegian Seafood Council.

In June, both price and volume of seasonal North Sea herring were at the same level as last year, but the total volume and value of exports were low:

  • 18,600 tons of herring were shipped at a value of NOK 242 million.
  • This represented a 31 per cent reduction in volume.
  • The value fell by NOK 30 million, or 11 per cent, compared with June of last year.

Export Boom for Mackerel

  • Norway exported 117,000 tons of mackerel worth NOK 2 billion in the first half of 2020.
  • Shipments rose 44 per cent by volume.
  • Export value increased by NOK 658 million, or 47 per cent.
  • China, South Korea and Japan were the largest markets for Norwegian mackerel in the first half of the year.

 

“The export value of mackerel so far this year is the highest ever measured. This is largely due to a sharp increase in export volume, which can be explained by increased landings of mackerel in Norway by foreign vessels. The average export price so far this year has remained virtually unchanged measured in Norwegian kroner,” said Isaksen.

Strong Growth in Japan

Japan is one of the drivers for the strong development of mackerel exports, and in this market the first part of 2020 has been characterized by very strong growth:

  • Volume growth in the first half of the year was 44 per cent
  • Value growth in was 46 per cent

“As in many other countries, the corona fear led to hoarding in Japan as well, and there was an increased focus on healthy and sustainable food. While we eat relatively little mackerel here at home, mackerel consumption is rising in Japan. Boxing mackerel has, among other things, become far more popular than tuna boxing in Japan, precisely because it is healthy and can be stored for a long time,” said the Norwegian Seafood Council’s fisheries envoy to Japan and South Korea.

The highly positive trend for mackerel was also evident for June exports:

  • 9,500 tons were exported at a value of NOK 184 million.
  • This represents a 5 per cent increase in volume.
  • Value rose by NOK 26 million, or 16 per cent, compared with June of last year.

Significant Reduction for King Crab

  • Norway exported 616 tons of king crab worth NOK 209 million in the first half of 2020.
  • There was a 26 per cent reduction in volume.
  • The value fell by NOK 53 million, or 20 per cent.
  • South Korea, the USA and the Netherlands were the largest recipients of king crab in the first half.

“The reduced export volume of king crabs has been affected both by the closure of large parts of the restaurant sector in most markets and the challenge of accessing air cargo,” said Isaksen.

The air freight market has improved somewhat in recent months, especially to the Asian countries, and June saw a slight increase in value for exports:

  • 117 tons of king crab were shipped at a value of NOK 40 million.
  • This is a 6 per cent reduction in volume.
  • The value increased by NOK 600,000, or 2 per cent, compared with June of last year.

Prawn Sales Fall

  • 5,600 tons of prawns worth NOK 449 million were exported in the first half of the year.
  • Volume fell by 24 per cent.
  • Export value declined by NOK 92 million, or 17 per cent, for the first half of the year.
  • The largest destination markets were Sweden, the Netherlands and the United Kingdom.
  • In June, 1,100 tons of prawns were exported to fetch NOK 81 million.
  • This represents a 5 per cent reduction in volume.
  • Export value for June fell by NOK 9 million, or 10 per cent, compared with June of 2019.